Week 5 saw Brandt Snedeker prove to everyone that not only can he come from behind to win he can now close out a lead, and do it without looking in any danger at all. Chris Kirk pushed him right to the very end, posting a final round 66, only for Snedeker to go one better and shoot a superb 65 -7. This saw Snedeker win by two shots, whilst playing with tour rookie and the man who he shared the 3rd round lead with James Hahn. Hahn did well to play his own game and finish -14 in a tie for 3rd place, continuing his great early season form. It came as no surprise to me that Snedeker won this week, he is arguably the best player on tour at the moment, finishing runner up twice already to Tiger and Mickelson’s heroics. So how did the tips get on this week?
Brandt Snedeker 14/1 3pts win (Winner) +45pts: I was confident after last week that Snedeker would go and get his win, after his two 2nd place finishes and his 3rd place in week 1. On the form he’s in it was impossible to look past him. Although he was short he was behind Mickelson and Dustin Johnson, and I did not see them winning again here, so you had to look at who else could post the challenge. There was only one player (Bryce Molder) who shot lower than him in the final round, and he was no threat to the lead. A solid win this week and not only has this put him as one of the favourites for the PGA Money List, it’s also seen big money being put on him for The Masters which in the form he is in he can certainly win!
Aaron Baddeley 55/1 1pt e/w (loser) -2pts: Aaron Baddeley was one of the most popular bets last week, due to his brilliant recent record at Pebble, this week it wasn’t to be. Baddeley had such an up and down week, making birdies and then ruining it with a double bogey thrown in, and this summed up his week. He had a good last round and had he of not had an average Friday and Saturday things may have been a lot different. Ultimately he didn’t play consistently enough to warrant a place in the top 5.
Robert Garrigus 33/1 1pt e/w (loser) -2pts: Garrigus was the most frustrating player on the final day. He got himself in a tie for third, with a brilliant front 9 going out in 32 it was the charge that Garrigus backers expect to see, it’s what he is good at. What nobody expect him to do was shoot a 9 on the par 5 14 and ruining his round completely. He went on to bogey the next hole, then cancel out a birdie on the 16th with bogey on the par 5 last, a poor back 9 from him cost himself and punters a place.
James Hahn 135/1 1pt e/w (winner) +34pts: Hahn looked a big price from the very beginning, and put in a performance that saw him tie the lead with Snedeker at the end of round 3. He also gave himself a very good eagle chance on the 2nd hole and missing the putt probably cost his challenge in the end. He was still level with Snedeker at the time and had he of putted that for a 3 he would of no doubt had the confidence to press on. In fairness to him, he hung on really well, ignoring Snedeker and playing his own game, finishing -2 for the day, -14 for the tournament which was enough for a tied 3rd finish. This was the biggest e/w win of the season and is certainly a welcome profit to anyone who got on.
Unfortunately the success in America was not matched in Europe, with Broberg and Marc Warren playing very averagely and Garth Mulroy not quite doing enough on the final day to secure a place. -9 for the week in Europe but a brilliant +75 in PGA makes that a lot easier to take.
Profit/Loss 2013: +43
After a successful week in America and another brilliant tournament to look forward to I can’t wait for this weeks Northern Trust Open, the field on the European Tour at the Africa Open is a lot less impressive and will be hard to find a value winner. Tips for both will be up later tonight and I hope to see you all get involved, and I hope some of you got amongst the profit at Pebble Beach. Follow me on Twitter for any questions or suggestions @TomJacobs8